What is the severity and most likely effectiveness of the current insurgency in the North Caucas...

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What is the severity and most likely effectiveness of the current insurgency in the North Caucasus regions and how is it likely to change between now and the 2008 Russian presidential election? by Mind Map: What is the severity and most likely effectiveness of the current  insurgency in the North Caucasus regions and how is it likely to change between now and the 2008 Russian presidential election?

1. Stability/Survivability of Kadyrov Regime in Chechnya

1.1. Links to 2008 Russian presidential election candidates

1.2. Effects of continued relationship with Russia

1.2.1. Positive

1.2.2. Negative

1.3. Does he want to stay integrated?

1.4. Opposition

1.4.1. If So...

1.4.1.1. Level of Threat to Kadyrov

1.4.1.2. Groups/Organizations

1.4.1.3. Links to Insurgents/Terrorists

1.5. Public Approval

1.5.1. Strength of rule

1.5.2. Attempts/Actions to gain approval

1.5.3. Actions weakening approval

2. What has been the recent military response to the insurgents in the North Caucasus region?

2.1. Military/Police Action

2.1.1. Preemtive tactics

2.1.2. Countertactics

2.2. Available Resources/Weapons to fight insurgents

2.3. Kremlin Policy Towards Insurgents

2.3.1. Specific Events

2.3.1.1. Is there a certain location/region where these events are focused?

2.3.2. Tactics/Methods Used

2.4. Is the military winning the fight against the insurgents?

2.4.1. If not, why are the insurgents winning/what tactics or capabilities does the military need to gain the advantage?

3. Insurgency in North/South Caucuses

3.1. Who?

3.1.1. Demographic analysis

3.1.1.1. Individual Country Studies

3.1.1.1.1. Race/Ethnicity

3.1.1.1.2. Religion

3.1.1.1.3. Languages

3.1.1.1.4. Political/Government

3.1.1.1.5. Age/Gender

3.1.1.1.6. Socioeconomic Status

3.1.1.1.7. Education

3.1.2. Terrorist

3.1.2.1. Leaders/Key Players

3.1.3. Groups/Organizations

3.1.3.1. Capabilities

3.1.3.1.1. Level of Violence

3.1.3.1.2. Methods of Operations

3.1.3.1.3. Targets

3.1.3.1.4. Areas of Operation

3.1.3.1.5. Major Attacks

3.1.3.1.6. Background

3.1.3.2. Link Analysis

3.1.3.2.1. Membership

3.1.3.2.2. Resources

3.1.4. Insurgent

3.1.4.1. Leaders/Key Players

3.1.4.1.1. Main Groups

3.2. Why?

3.2.1. Religious?

3.2.2. Ethnic?

3.2.3. Political?

3.2.4. Other?

3.3. What?

3.3.1. Level of violence

3.3.1.1. Methods of attacks

3.3.1.2. Tactics

3.4. Current Situation in each republic

3.5. Has the insurgency spread to other areas?

3.5.1. Analysis of Competing Hypotheses

3.6. Insurgency in Chechnya

3.6.1. Geographic growth

3.6.1.1. Geographic analysis

3.6.1.2. Locations/"hot spots"

3.6.2. Spread of Violence

3.6.2.1. Regional Safe Havens

3.6.2.2. Links to Terrorist/Insurgent Groups or Organizations

3.6.2.3. Severity within North Caucasus region

3.6.3. Origins

3.6.3.1. mikke

3.6.3.2. yash

4. How are the 2008 Russian Presidential election candidates linked to the North Caucasus region?

4.1. Link Analysis

4.2. Presidential Candidates

4.3. Russia's connection to Kadyrov Presidency

4.4. Putin's involvement in candidacy selections