Geopolitical risks - 2016

1. weakness of Transatlantic Alliance

1.1. priorities

1.1.1. Russia

1.1.1.1. national security

1.1.1.2. impact on neighboring countries

1.1.1.3. enlarhement of territory

1.1.1.4. strong Kremlin

1.1.2. China

1.1.2.1. no world models

1.1.2.2. the largest economy

1.1.2.3. strong politics

1.1.3. the USA

1.1.3.1. unclear

1.2. the USA and Europe - different ways

2. Emerging economies

2.1. cyclic geopolitics

2.1.1. no growth

2.1.2. high risk

2.1.3. rise in interest rates

2.1.4. poor population

2.1.5. middle income trap

2.1.6. inequality

3. European Union

3.1. France - terrorism

3.2. the UK - Brexit

3.3. Germany - refugee crisis

3.4. internal borders

4. the USA

4.1. future presidential elections

4.2. legislation  revolution

4.3. 4 industrial revolution

5. the Middle East

5.1. 6 failed states

5.1.1. Iraq

5.1.2. Syria

5.1.3. Libya

5.1.4. Yemen

5.1.5. Mali

5.1.6. Afghanistan

5.1.7. Jordan - next?

5.2. ISIS

5.3. refugees from the Middle East

5.4. Saudi Arabia - increasingly isolated

5.5. The Iranian nuclear program