1. story
1.1. archie
1.1.1. called it the god complex
1.1.2. symptoms
1.1.2.1. always believe that your right
1.1.2.2. they understand how the worl works
2. back to overview map
3. undercover economist
3.1. TED profile
3.2. timharford.com
3.3. @TimHarford
3.4. Tim Harford's writings reveal the economic ideas behind everyday experiences.
4. 2nd world war
4.1. german camp
4.1.1. Archie Cochrane
4.1.1.1. was a doctor
4.1.1.2. resourceful person
4.1.1.2.1. smuggles Marmite in
4.1.1.2.2. vitamine C & B
4.1.1.2.3. notes results in a book
4.1.1.3. german culture
4.1.1.4. vitamines need to be supplied
4.1.1.4.1. otherwise war crime
4.2. horible symptoms
4.3. hostile environment
4.4. guards
5. book
5.1. Adapt
5.1.1. Why success always starts with failure
5.2. Review by Tutor2u
6. data
6.1. Hans Rosling (aka the Mick Jagger of TED)
6.1.1. graphs
6.1.1.1. 3pieces of data of countries
6.1.2. another graph
6.2. number of disctinct products
6.2.1. is huge and complex
6.2.2. economies are comples
6.2.3. god complex is tempting
6.2.3.1. show a picture
6.2.3.2. a simple graph
6.2.3.3. solve complex problems is hard
6.2.3.4. we can
6.2.3.5. use problem solving technqiue that works
6.3. example
6.3.1. baby
6.3.1.1. trial and error
6.3.1.1.1. variation and selection
6.3.1.1.2. biological systems
6.3.2. detergent
6.3.2.1. huge tank
6.3.2.2. need a good nozzle
6.3.2.3. god complex
6.3.2.4. geneticist
6.3.2.4.1. trial and error
6.3.2.4.2. variation and selection
6.3.2.4.3. create 10
7. economy
7.1. US still the largest economy
7.1.1. 10% of us business dissapear every year
7.1.2. huge failure rate
7.1.3. thus the evolve faster
7.1.4. process of trial and error
7.1.4.1. not smart person
7.1.4.2. trial and error
7.1.4.3. setting the right context
7.2. experimentation is key
7.2.1. it is obvious
7.2.1.1. Nieuw knooppunt
7.2.2. there are not always answers to questions
7.2.3. dont train kids to have always the right answer
7.2.4. policians can not always fix everything
7.3. keep on trial and errow
7.3.1. abandon the god complex (being the smartest)
8. trail & error
8.1. trial and error
8.2. law down the law is comfortable
8.2.1. god complex