1. The lockdown isn’t a sustainable strategy for dealing with the virus – but it buys time to develop one.
2. Analysis suggests lifting even one current measure could accelerate the spread.
3. Sustainable strategy: minimising the trade-off. A twin-track strategy of containment and shielding can prevent deaths and stop the number of cases accelerating as suppression measures are eased.
4. Managing uncertainty: a contingent exit plan. • Uncertainty accentuates the need for a clear plan • Until vaccines or treatments become available, sustainable exit from lockdown requires an advanced strategy for containment and shielding. • That will be a process of trial and error.
5. Economic consequences are severe.
6. Health and education will be affected by all this situation, as well as many other sectors.
7. There will be many risks of standardization, and lifting restrictions without other measures risks accelerating the spread of the virus.
