Spot Exchange Rate

1. Parity Conditions

1.1. Relative Inflation Rates

1.1.1. May 2010: uk 3.7%

1.1.2. June 2009 US deflation

1.2. Relative Interest Rates

1.3. Forward Exchange Rates

1.4. Exchange Rate Regimes

1.5. Official Monetary Reserves

2. Speculation

2.1. Currencies

2.2. Securities

2.3. Uncovered interest arbitrage

2.4. Property

2.5. Commodities

3. Cross-border investment

3.1. Foreign Direct investment

3.2. Portfolio Investment

4. Infrastructure

4.1. Strength of Banking System

4.2. Strength of securities markets

4.3. Outlook for growth and profitability

4.3.1. Moody's AAA September 2010

5. Political Risk

5.1. Capital Controls

5.2. Black Market in currencies

5.3. Exchange Rate Spreads

5.4. Risk premium on securities and FDI

5.5. Election UK May 2010