Future Wheel Pandemics
Pandemics and its consequences, ripple effects (future wheel method), collaborative mindmap
1. people start washing the hands more carefully
2. higher demand for exclusive property
3. people don't trust sharing services anymore
4. shared housing, offices, cars will need to guarantee safe operation
5. boost for cryptocurrency by criminals and people wanting to avoid detection
6. discussion about European Union failing to coordinate effectively
7. less transport
8. political tensions
9. online schools
9.1. AI, neuro feedback to enhance learning
9.1.1. competition between online schools, death of distance
10. games, vr, telestuff
10.1. telepresence innovation
10.1.1. telehaptics
10.1.2. tele intimacy
10.1.3. VR solution for mass gatherings
10.1.4. video solutions for mass gatherings and events
10.1.5. AR for tele work
10.1.6. drones and bots for deliveries
10.1.6.1. but demand for quality: who touches my food?
10.1.7. digital voting
11. more emergency forces
12. more health care
12.1. in house fitness
12.2. tele medicine
12.3. prevention
12.4. fever scanners
12.4.1. also used to detect terrorists on airports
12.4.2. generalized monitoring
12.4.3. bracelets
13. economic downturn
13.1. shortages supply shock
13.1.1. companies go bust, lay-offs
13.1.1.1. governments intervene
13.1.1.1.1. deficit increases
13.1.1.2. less turism
13.1.1.2.1. pressure on turism dependent countries, regions
13.1.1.3. on demand, gig economy first victim
13.1.1.3.1. more appreciation for fulltime fixed employment
13.1.1.3.2. how strong is the balance sheet of my company?
13.1.1.4. less attention for other issues such as climate
13.1.1.5. less pollution
13.1.1.5.1. more pollution later on when they try to catch up
13.1.2. central banks intervene
13.1.2.1. markets reverse, or not
13.1.2.2. banks have to take care key employees can keep working
13.1.2.2.1. additional risk measurement is imposed
13.1.3. rumors about banking hoarding liquidity, tensions in the financial system
13.1.4. reorganization international supply chains
13.1.4.1. moving away from china to countries such as vietnam and thailand (covid-19)
13.1.4.2. decentralization of production
13.1.5. waste accumulates
13.1.6. worries about food supply
13.1.6.1. new models for food
13.1.7. energy markets, oil, tank
14. confidence shaken
15. people sick, die
15.1. inequality gets lethal
15.2. change in demographics
15.2.1. only young and healthy people survive?
15.2.2. wealth redistribution
15.2.3. changes in voting
15.3. inner cities less desirable
15.3.1. movement away from inner cities?
15.3.1.1. changes in real estate prices
15.4. mental, sociological consequences
15.4.1. youngsters rebel
15.4.2. loneliness for elderly
15.4.3. entrepreneurs panic
15.4.4. uncertainty, depression
16. demand protective gear increases
16.1. shifts in production
16.2. 3D printing
17. increasing demand for video conferences, online collaboration, telerobots
17.1. better methods and technologies develop
17.1.1. 5G becomes even more a necessity
18. financial markets hit
18.1. central banks, governments intervene
18.2. some stocks benefit (videoconferencing, healthcare related companies)
19. contactless payments
19.1. increasingly refusal of paper money
20. more surveillance and digitalization
20.1. privacy debate
20.2. more border control, national identification
20.3. push for more crypto
21. religion challenged
21.1. surveillance, IoT
21.1.1. terrorists develop bio terror
21.1.1.1. fever scanners find out about terrorists and sick people
21.2. regimes are criticized
21.2.1. authority based on religion collapses
21.3. vax-discussion
22. international collaboration needed
22.1. discussion about brexit
22.2. clash between nationalism and need for international action
23. fake news spreads
23.1. who tells the truth how to verify
23.1.1. blockchain to the rescue?
23.2. conspiracy theories
23.2.1. debate about further regulation of social networks
24. looking for causes
24.1. deforestation
24.2. urbanization
24.2.1. discussion about living with (wild) animals
24.2.1.1. regulation of markets with live animals
24.3. globalization
24.3.1. increase in racist incidents
24.3.2. more contestation in line with climate activists and protest against "neo-liberal world order" in weird coalition with nationalists of all stripes
24.4. increased consumption animal proteins
24.4.1. more impetus for non-animal food
25. a sense of vulnerability
25.1. in this age people talk about achieving immortaility but also about extinction
25.1.1. climate phenomena, viruses, trade wars, could it lead to a new sense that change is possible?
26. people get suspicious about food
26.1. robots make food (salads, smoothies...)
26.2. people get suspicious about everything
27. people rethink urbanism
27.1. self-reliant neighborhoods
28. new governance?
29. information
29.1. fight against fakte information
29.1.1. quality media get subscription boost
29.2. slump in ads
29.2.1. digital media under more pressure since they often don't have subscriptions