## 1. Section 7.7

### 1.1. Confusion of the Inverse

1.1.1. 3 pieces of Information to determine probability of a positive test result being accurate.

1.1.1.1. #1

1.1.1.2. #2

1.1.1.3. #3

### 1.2. Coincidences

### 1.3. The Gambler's Fallacy

## 2. Section 7.1

### 2.1. Random Circumstance - One in which the outcome is unpredictable.

### 2.2. Probability - is a number between 0 and 1 that is assigned to a possible outcome of a random circumstance.

## 3. Section 7.5

### 3.1. Hints & Advice

### 3.2. Steps for Finding Probabilites

### 3.3. Two Way Tables

### 3.4. Tree Diagrams

## 4. Section 7.3

### 4.1. Assigning Probabilities to Simple Events

4.1.1. Two Conditions for Valid Probabilities

4.1.2. Probabilities for Equally Likely Simple Events

4.1.3. Key Terms

4.1.3.1. Sample Space

4.1.3.2. Event

4.1.3.3. Simple Event

### 4.2. Complementary Events

### 4.3. Mutually Exclusive Events

### 4.4. Independent and Dependent Events

4.4.1. Independent

4.4.2. Dependent

### 4.5. Conditional Probabilites

## 5. Section 7.4

### 5.1. Rule One

### 5.2. Rule Two

### 5.3. Rule Three

### 5.4. Rule Four

### 5.5. Sampling with and Without Replacement

5.5.1. With Replacement

5.5.2. Without Replacement

## 6. Section 7.2

### 6.1. The Relatice Frequency Interpretation of Probability situations

6.1.1. Buying lottery tickets regularly and observing how often you win

6.1.2. Drawing a student's name out of a hat and seeing how often a particular student is selected

6.1.3. Commuting to work daily and observing whether or not a certain traffic signal is red when we encounter it.

6.1.4. Surveying many adults and determining what proportion smokes

6.1.5. Observing births and noting how often the baby is a female