1. Our Bias - What We Have to Overcome To Not Be Ignorant About The World
1.1. Misconceptions
1.1.1. 1. Everything is getting worse
1.1.2. 2. There are only rich and poor and the inequality is increasing, it is an unequal world
1.1.3. 3. Countries first become rich before there are social developments, such as having a girls in school or being ready for natural disasters
1.1.4. 4. Sharks are dangerous, meaning that most people exaggerate things that are afraid of in the global statistics
1.2. Skewed Information + Intuition
1.2.1. Personal Bias
1.2.2. News Bias
1.2.3. Outdated Facts
2. Rules of Thumb - The Tools We Can Use To Not Be Ignorant About The World
2.1. 1. Most things improve
2.1.1. When in doubt, guess that things improve. They usually do!
2.2. 2. Most people are in the middle of the road in terms of economic status
2.2.1. There is not a huge gap of inequality between the rich and the poor
2.3. 3. Countries first have social developments before they become economically wealthy
2.3.1. When unsure, guess that most countries already have social developments, such as electricity and girls in school
2.4. 4. Sharks kill very few in actual global statistics
2.4.1. This means that when in doubt assume that the problem or statistic is exaggerated